Hurricane season is not overand the Eastern Shore may see the effects of Hurricane Michael sometime Thursday. Both the European and GFS models show the Shore possibly getting between two and four inches of rain as the storm passes by. As of Monday evening, the National Hurricane Center predicts winds to be in the 20 to 30 mph range as it passes with possible gusts approaching tropical storm force of 39 mph Thursday night and Friday morning.
Michael will have been over land for over 36 hours by the time it reaches us so the chance of having damaging winds is minimal as of this time. Another factor will be the speed of Michael. As is usually the case this time of year, what’s left of Michael will be moving at approximately 35 mph. when it crosses our area meaning that unlike Florence, this storm will be brief and probably weak. If there are tropical storm force winds they’re likely to occur over the mouth of the Chesapeake Bay and along the ocean beaches.
So as of now we are cautiously optimistic that at worst Michael will give us 2 to 4 of inches of rain. If this changes, we’ll let you know. But it gets better for some of us. Michael will pull through a cold front that should result in more seasonal weather over the weekend with highs in the mid sixties expected Saturday.